FIGURE

fuzzy-panda

5 events (5 clean) · |AR| day 0 8.3% · hit rate 80%

DIRECTIONAL CAR BY WEEK

Does the implied move persist, revert, or grow?

Every studied post, most recent first

call

figure

ticker

date from

date to

date	figure	ticker	call	day-0 AR	dir w4	concurrence
2026-06-10	fuzzy-panda	TE	bearish	-5.65%	15.2%	▼ 29/93 go 35 miss
2026-04-20	fuzzy-panda	FRMI	bearish	-17.14%	-7.6%	▼ 29/93 go 34 miss
2025-10-30	fuzzy-panda	EOSE	bearish	0.17%	11.6%	▼ 30/93 go 36 miss
2025-10-10	fuzzy-panda	RCAT	bearish	-4.47%	55.8%	▼ 10/93 go 61 miss
2025-02-26	fuzzy-panda	APP	bearish	-14.24%	22.4%	▼ 36/93 go 30 miss

legend

AR: abnormal return — the day's actual return minus the market-model expected return
|AR|: size of the abnormal return, direction ignored
CAR: cumulative abnormal return — daily ARs summed over a horizon
dir: directional CAR — CAR signed by the post's call; positive means the market moved the post's way
w1 / w4 / w13: 1-, 4- and 13-week horizons, 5 trading days per week
call: the post's implied direction — bullish or bearish
confounded: event overlapping earnings, a split or similar corporate news — flagged and excluded from the clean count