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FIGURE

hindenburg

1 events (1 clean) · |AR| day 0 2.3% · hit rate 100%

DIRECTIONAL CAR BY WEEK

Does the implied move persist, revert, or grow?

EVENT LOG

Every studied post, most recent first

datefiguretickercallday-0 ARdir w4concurrenceflags
2025-01-02hindenburgCVNAbearish-2.31%-2.8%
▼ 59/93 go
20 miss
legend
AR
abnormal return — the day's actual return minus the market-model expected return
|AR|
size of the abnormal return, direction ignored
CAR
cumulative abnormal return — daily ARs summed over a horizon
dir
directional CAR — CAR signed by the post's call; positive means the market moved the post's way
w1 / w4 / w13
1-, 4- and 13-week horizons, 5 trading days per week
call
the post's implied direction — bullish or bearish
confounded
event overlapping earnings, a split or similar corporate news — flagged and excluded from the clean count